August 6, 2026 · Where the numbers play.
NBA

Draft Models vs. Scouts: The Five-Year Scorecard

Draft Models vs. Scouts: The Five-Year Scorecard

Five drafts ago we froze a purely statistical draft model and let it ‘pick’ against consensus boards. Time’s up. The model beat the scouts in three of five drafts by career value over replacement — and lost badly in one, for an instructive reason.

The model’s blind spot is the same every time: medical information it never sees.

Related Analysis

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *