August 6, 2026 · Where the numbers play.

NBA
NFL
Betting Models
Methods & Data
Soccer
MLB

NBA
NFL
Betting Models
Methods & Data
Soccer
MLB

Category

Tag: Totals

Why Your Totals Model Needs a Pace Prior, Not a Pace Average

Why Your Totals Model Needs a Pace Prior, Not a Pace Average

Tom FerrisJuly 23, 2026

Search

Recent Posts

Draft Models vs. Scouts: The Five-Year Scorecard
Calibration Curves: Are Our Probabilities Honest?
Backtesting Without Fooling Yourself
Our Simulation Stack, Explained
Why Your Totals Model Needs a Pace Prior, Not a Pace Average

Recent Comments

No comments to show.

Archives

July 2026

Categories

Betting Models
Methods & Data
MLB
NBA
NFL
Soccer

Athlequants is the sports analytics magazine where the numbers play. Data-driven NBA, NFL, soccer and MLB coverage — models, methods and honest uncertainty.

Desks

NBA
NFL
Betting Models
Methods & Data
Soccer
MLB

Company

About Us
Advertise
Contact Us
Editorial Policy
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

The Weekly Edge

Our free Friday newsletter: the week's best models and charts.

© 2026 athlequants.com · Where the numbers play.

Athlequants is an independent sports analytics publication.